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Kabar Gembira dari LSI Denny JA: Bulan Juni, Indonesia Sudah Bisa Buka Aktifitas Warga & Ekonomi

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Kabar Gembira dari LSI Denny JA: Bulan Juni, Indonesia Sudah Bisa Buka Aktifitas Warga & Ekonomi

Kabar Gembira dari LSI Denny JA: Bulan Juni, Indonesia Sudah Bisa Buka Aktifitas Warga & Ekonomi

Kabar Gembira dari LSI Denny JA: Bulan Juni, Indonesia Sudah Bisa Buka Aktifitas Warga & Ekonomi

Direktur Eksekutif Lingkaran Survei Indonesia (LSI) Denny JA merekomendasikan, bulan Juni 2020 Indonesia sudah bisa secara bertahap membuka kembali aktifitas warga dan ekonomi.

Ada tiga alasan yang mendasari rekomendasi pembukaan pembatasan sosial di Indonesia, salah satunya kurva penularan Covid-19 sudah melandai.

Demikian disampaikan Direktur Eksekutif Denny JA melalui laman Facebook Denny J.A's World, Sabtu (16/5/2020) malam.

Denny JA mengatakan, secara bertahap, Indonesia dapat memulai kembali bekerja di luar rumah pada Juni 2020 mendatang.

Hal itu lantaran, LSI Denny JA menemukan fakta bahwa Indonesia telah memenuhi syarat untuk membuka kembali aktivitas warga dan ekonomi.

Kendati demikian, menurut Denny JA, hal ini tidak dapat dilakukan serentak di seluruh wilayah Indonesia.

"Harus dilakukan secara bertahap karena grafik kasus setiap wilayah berbeda-beda, setelah PSBB diberlakukan," ungkap Denny JA. 

Menurutnya, wilayah yang sudah layak dibuka kembali termasuk Jakarta yang merupakan pusat ekonomi dan bisnis Indonesia.

Lebih lanjut, Denny JA pun memaparkan tiga landasan yang membuat Indonesia perlu segera kembali bekerja, yaitu sebagai berikut:

1. Banyak negara yang membuka kembali aktivitas warga

Landasan yang pertama, Denny JA menyebutkan, telah banyak negara di dunia yang membuka kembali aktivitas warga dan ekonominya.

Denny JA mengatakan, di bulan April, sejumlah negara Eropa seperti Jerman, Austria, Norwegia, Denmark, Yunani, dan juga New Zealand (non Eropa), telah melonggarkan kebijakan lockdown-nya.

Selanjutnya, pada awal Mei, diikuti oleh negara Eropa yang lain, seperti Portugal, Spanyol, Belgia, Italia dan Perancis.

"Di antara negara-negara tersebut, Italia, Spanyol, Perancis dan Jerman adalah negara yang diawal pandemi memiliki kasus positif dan meninggal paling banyak di Eropa."

"Negara-negara tersebut membuka kembali pembatasan sosial (lockdown) setelah mereka melewati puncak pandemi, yang terlihat dari data kurva kasus harian yang menurun (driven by data)," lanjutnya.

Menurut Denny JA, dalam menerapkan kebijakan ini, setiap negara memiliki detil kebijakan yang berbeda-beda.

Namun terdapat persamaan dari kebijakan aktivitas ekonomi yang dibolehkan.

Diantaranya yaitu usaha kecil menengah, toko-toko kebutuhan pokok harian, toko buku, toko pakaian, dan taman publik.

Menurutnya, semua itu mulai diperbolehkan untuk dibuka kembali dengan tetap menjaga aturan social distancing.

"Bar, restoran, dan kafe belum diizinkan buka hingga Juni 2020," tambah Denny JA.

2. Vaksin paling cepat ditemukan satu tahun lagi

Kedua, Denny mengatakan, vaksin baru ditemukan paling cepat 12 bulan atau satu tahun lagi.

Oleh karena itu, menurutnya, Indonesia dan negara lain mustahil menunggu hingga vaksin benar-benar ditemukan untuk memulai kerja ke luar rumah lagi.

Menurut Denny JA,  APINDO melaporkan bahwa data mereka menunjukan terdapat kurang lebih 7 juta karyawan yang di PHK pada Mei 2020.

APINDO juga mengingkatkan bahwa terdapat 30 juta karyawan di bidang properti yang juga terancam di PHK jika pandemi belum bisa diatasi.

"Artinya jika aktivitas ekonomi tidak secara bertahap dimulai maka warga Indonesia bisa menderita akibat terkaparnya ekonomi rumah tangga," kata Denny JA.

3. Keseimbangan kesehatan tubuh dan ekonomi harus terjaga

Landasan yang ketiga, Denny menyampaikan, Indonesia perlu menjaga keseimbangan antara kesehatan tubuh dan kesehatan ekonomi.

Menurutnya, saat ini selain angka pengangguran yang makin tinggi, pendapatan negara menurun dan pertumbuhan ekonomi tidak mencapai target akibat dampak Covid-19.

"Hal ini dapat mengakibatkan dampak ekonomi ke semua sektor (krisis ekonomi)."

"Jika aktivitas ekonomi tak segera dibuka kembali, maka pemulihan ekonomi Indonesia akan melalui jalan yang panjang dan terjal," kata Denny.

Namun, Denny JA menekankan, dibukanya kembali aktivitas warga dan ekonomi harus dilakukan dengan bertahap, belajar best practice dari negara yang sudah lebih dahulu, dituntun dengan data, dan tetap memperhatikan protokol kesehatan.

Sebelumnya, Dennya JA menyampaikan, LSI Denny JA telah melakukan riset dengan mengolah data sekunder dari data Gugus Tugas, Worldometer, dan WHO.

Menurutnya, dari hasil riset tersebut, kurva penambahan kasus Covid-19 kini mulai mendatar.

Bahkan, tren kasus Covid-19 di sejumlah daerah telah menurun.

Sebaliknya, menurut Denny JA, dampak negatif terhadap perekonomian Indonesia semakin memuncak.

"Data menunjukkan peningkatan jumlah pengangguran dan penurunan pertumbuhan ekonomi nasional," kata Denny.

( Metta)
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